In the realm of immigration enforcement, data plays a pivotal role in understanding the complexities of the system. Austin Kocher, a 30-year-old academic researcher and geographer, has been at the forefront of this field for the past 17 years. His work, which combines quantitative analysis and longform interviews, offers a unique perspective on the U.S. immigration enforcement system.

Kocher’s journey began at the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse (TRAC)a data research organization at Syracuse University that uses Freedom of Information Act requests to shed light on federal government activities. His work has been cited in prestigious outlets such as The New York TimesWall Street Journaland NPRmaking him a go-to expert in the field.

Kocher’s Research Focus and Methodology

Kocher’s research is centered around the immigration enforcement systemfrom the initial contact with law enforcement to the final outcome, whether it’s deportation or asylum. A significant part of his work focuses on the police-to-deportation pipelinewhich involves interviewing immigrant communities, law enforcement agencies, and government officials. He also relies heavily on data obtained through Freedom of Information Act requests and state-level public records.

His Substack platform has become a vital resource for those seeking to understand the current political moment through the lens of immigration data. Kocher believes that first-person stories, when connected to data, can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the issues at hand. This approach allows him to move at the pace of the news, making his research more accessible and timely.

The Reliability of Immigration Data Under the Trump Administration

One of the key questions Kocher addresses is the reliability of immigration data under the current administration. He explains that immigration data is primarily derived from government databases, which are maintained for operational purposes. Unlike climate science data, which can be subject to political influence, immigration data is less susceptible to tampering. However, the current administration has been criticized for its lack of transparency in releasing this data.

Kocher highlights the discrepancy between the administration’s claims of transparency and the actual availability of data. For instance, former Attorney General Pam Bondi claimed that the administration was the most transparent in historya statement Kocher disputes. He points out that several data sources that were previously available have been choked off, making it difficult to assess the true extent of civil rights violations and abuses in detention centers.

The Power of Immigration Data in Shaping Narratives

Kocher’s research has the potential to shape public perception and policy. He provides two compelling examples of how data can challenge the narratives put forth by the administration. First, he examines the administration’s use of social media to portray those arrested by ICE as dangerous criminals. Kocher’s data shows that the majority of arrests and detentions over the past seven months have involved individuals with no criminal history. This contradicts the administration’s claims and highlights the misperception of who ICE is truly arresting.

Second, Kocher addresses the administration’s use of language to obscure the true number of deportations. By using terms like repatriation and deportation in a general sense, the administration creates the impression of a higher number of deportations than is actually the case. Kocher emphasizes the importance of accurate data in understanding the true impact of immigration policies.

Bright Spots in the Immigration Enforcement System

Despite the challenges, Kocher finds hope in the resilience of communities and the power of individual stories. He shares the story of Carlos Della Vallea man who was detained for nine months despite having no criminal history. Della Valle’s release was the result of his wife’s unwavering support and the efforts of community organizations. This story, among others, demonstrates the positive impact that communities can have on the immigration enforcement system.

Kocher’s main goal is to educate the public about the immigration enforcement system and the realities of immigration in the United States. He believes that informed conversations are essential for addressing the misinformation that often surrounds this complex issue. By providing accurate data and compelling stories, Kocher aims to foster a more rational and empathetic understanding of immigration enforcement.